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BGonline.org Forums
Cube action?
Posted By: Casper Van der Tak In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)
Date: Sunday, 26 January 2014, at 1:17 a.m.
We are inside our market window, have 4 possible market losers (big doubles followed by a non-double), and we are going to double next turn unless we roll a missing 2 or opponent a double. Doubling only risks about 2%, for a gain of about 29%.
So by doubling we gain 4/36 * 30/36 * 29% and we lose (6/36 + 10/36 * 30/36) * 2 = 1.9% (not exact due to rounding of the various match equities).
This is a clear recube.
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