BGonline.org Forums

This cube at different match scores (and $)

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 1:11 p.m.

In Response To: This cube at different match scores (and $) (Snua)

Position

When you've made your 5 & 4pts, your basic gammons are worth approximately 25%. With the 3pt made instead of the 4 the gammons are worth an estimated 22%. There are 8 pointing numbers, 66 22 64 62 42 so your adjusted gammons are worth around 22*22.2%, 5+22 = 27%. The trailers basic gammons are usually in the 5% range but here, there is some development. 7% appears to be a reasonable estimate.

Evaluation

In addition to the rolls that dance (9/36), White has some pretty nasty rolls that play awkwardly i.e. 43 42 41 32 21 (10/36). As a rough estimate, Blue wins the position about 22+ 53*78 or 63.5% of the time.

$

Blue's net gammons are 10% and White's adjusted TP is around 30%, double/take.

-3 -3

White's adjusted TP is around 29.2%, double/take.

-4 -3, -4 -2 Blue or White?

NBM

Messages In This Thread

• This cube at different match scores (and $)
  Snua -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 10:48 a.m.
  • This cube at different match scores (and $)
    HOMINID -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 12:04 p.m.
  • This cube at different match scores (and $)
    Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 1:11 p.m.
    • This cube at different match scores (and $)
      ah_clem -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 3:51 p.m.
  • This cube at different match scores (and $)
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 3:49 p.m.
  • This cube at different match scores (and $) - XGR++
    Snua -- Thursday, 6 March 2014, at 9:33 a.m.
    • 32Z-63H-42@-65R-31X-53Z-33A-F-C
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 9 March 2014, at 6:26 p.m.