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OLM 20140316A The Prime Factors

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 16 March 2014, at 2:43 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20140316A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

We have 22 excellent rolls (16 that hit, 1 that makes the 4 point, 1 that makes bar point, 4 that run into the outfield). We have 14 poor rolls, after some of which the responding roll might be poor.

However, looking at opponent's responses to our good rolls, I guess that not much more than 30% of them complete a market losing sequence for us, because any number that hits back or splits the back checkers or makes the 23, 21 or 18 point is decent so that's only about 7/36 market losing sequences. Meanwhile, after most of our 14 bad rolls and the response, we'll wish we had not doubled.

No Double

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