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DQFT: To hit or not to hit, that is the question *RollOut*

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Friday, 21 March 2014, at 10:21 p.m.

In Response To: DQFT: To hit or not to hit, that is the question (leobueno)

JSD > 4.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, leo 0

Move number 3: leo to play 32

gnubg141

1O1X '2X2X3X '2X ' ' '3O

2X2O '2O '3O '2O ' '1O3X
leo145
Position ID: sp3BATBmzsgBUA Match ID: cIkJAAAAAAAE

leo moves bar/22 24/22

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0.197
0.440 0.157 0.012 - 0.560 0.233 0.014
Cubeful equities:
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0.293
2.Double, pass +1.000 +1.293
3.Double, take -0.807 -0.514
Proper cube action:No double, beaver (28.4%)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/22 24/22 +0.046
0.5030.1690.007-0.4970.1400.008 +0.034 +0.046
0.0020.0030.000-0.0020.0030.001 0.006 0.015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
372 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 704974290 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 360 games)
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/23* 11/8 -0.047 ( -0.093)
0.4790.1700.015-0.5210.1670.007 -0.030 -0.047
0.0020.0030.001-0.0020.0030.001 0.006 0.016
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
362 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 704974290 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 360 games)
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R bar/23* 13/10 -0.083 ( -0.129)
0.4730.1850.018-0.5270.1880.014 -0.053 -0.083
0.0030.0030.001-0.0030.0030.001 0.007 0.019
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
363 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 704974290 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 360 games)
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 2 bar/23* 8/5 -0.306 ( -0.352)
0.428 0.165 0.016 - 0.572 0.243 0.030
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 2 bar/22 13/11 -0.333 ( -0.379)
0.434 0.154 0.010 - 0.566 0.250 0.012
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 2 bar/23* 6/3 -0.389 ( -0.435)
0.411 0.146 0.013 - 0.589 0.231 0.020
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 2 bar/22 11/9 -0.420 ( -0.466)
0.407 0.154 0.012 - 0.593 0.276 0.018
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 2 bar/22 6/4 -0.503 ( -0.549)
0.389 0.136 0.009 - 0.611 0.284 0.018
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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