At some point one has to switch over from trying to win to trying to save the gammon. That point is not always so easy to discern OTB. Here I played 8/4(3) 6/2*, which is apparently the DMP play but loses too many gammons.
       
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 128 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 98
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aaBDBC-C-a------bbbbbb-A-:1:1:1:44:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/2*(3) | eq: -0.960 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 6.55% (G:0.53% B:0.02%)
93.45% (G:11.29% B:0.42%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.964...-0.956) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/2*(2) 5/1*(2) | eq: -0.990 (-0.030) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 6.32% (G:0.36% B:0.00%)
93.68% (G:13.66% B:0.36%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.994...-0.986) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/2* 5/1*(2) | eq: -1.006 (-0.045) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 6.35% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
93.65% (G:15.00% B:0.63%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.010...-1.002) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 5/1*(2) | eq: -1.007 (-0.046) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 6.03% (G:0.35% B:0.01%)
93.97% (G:14.34% B:0.50%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.010...-1.003) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 33 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 8/4(3) 6/2* | eq: -1.022 (-0.062) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 8.11% (G:0.83% B:0.04%)
91.89% (G:20.72% B:1.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.027...-1.017) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: -1.029 (-0.068) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 7.47% (G:0.64% B:0.03%)
92.53% (G:19.75% B:1.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.033...-1.024) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 10 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Here's another position that I encountered in a different game, but that bears a family resemblance to the previous position. Again it seems that 8/4 6/2 5/1(2) is the DMP play but loses too many gammons.
   
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 112 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 105
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--AbBCCBC--------bbbbbbaA-:1:1:1:44:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/4 5/1(3) | eq: -0.753 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 15.35% (G:2.40% B:0.04%)
84.65% (G:13.55% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.759...-0.748) - [92.3%]
Duration: 5 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/2 5/1(3) | eq: -0.759 (-0.006) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 15.91% (G:2.61% B:0.03%)
84.09% (G:15.53% B:0.49%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.764...-0.753) - [7.7%]
Duration: 5 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/4(3) 6/2 | eq: -0.788 (-0.035) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 12.78% (G:2.62% B:0.06%)
87.22% (G:10.16% B:0.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.793...-0.784) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/4(3) 5/1 | eq: -0.800 (-0.047) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 12.84% (G:2.62% B:0.04%)
87.16% (G:11.68% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.805...-0.795) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/2 5/1(2) | eq: -0.807 (-0.054) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 16.69% (G:3.45% B:0.07%)
83.31% (G:22.35% B:0.71%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.812...-0.801) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/2(3) | eq: -0.823 (-0.070) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 12.84% (G:1.77% B:0.03%)
87.16% (G:14.11% B:0.46%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.828...-0.817) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10