[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

2a - 5a cube vs fish

Posted By: Mislav Kovacic
Date: Tuesday, 22 April 2014, at 3:16 a.m.

is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 129
7 point match
pip: 103
score: 5

is Player 1
XGID=--BBBABcB---bD----cc--bb--:0:0:1:00:5:2:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74,43% (G:4,21% B:0,05%) 74,79% (G:5,10% B:0,10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25,57% (G:1,85% B:0,02%) 25,21% (G:1,98% B:0,03%)
Cubeless Equities +0,550 +1,597
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,664 (-0,118)
Double/Take:+0,782
Double/Pass:+1,000 (+0,218)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2



So at the score, 5away-player needs around 23% to take and since he is getting close to that and it's a mutually non-gammonish position the theoretical verdict should be pretty clear: Double/Take.
But the question I am more interested in is: how bad does your opponent have to be for you to miss this cube, or these kinds of cubes in general?
Missing few of these vs someone you portray as "fish" can be very costly for your PR. Not that I care about it, goal is to win, but it's not easy for me to draw the fine line and decide who I'm doubling here and who I'm not.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.