I survived the first hurdle, entering B/21 and shifting points. 5/1*(2). I then played 8/4 and was shocked to discover how much better is 6/2. I'm still looking for explanation as to why that is so much stronger. Slotting at the front of a prime is a frequent theme in prime versus prime, but when we are blitzing, as here, it seems a bit rich--even when we are holding the point six pips away.
The "priming" play of B/21 6/2(2) 8/4 is so very bad, that even the berserko play of B/21 6/2(2) 5/1* came out better.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 137 | | 7 point match | pip: 136
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a-BBBD-Ba--b----cbcc--AAA:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 6/2 5/1*(2) | eq: -0.429 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 36.08% (G:17.10% B:0.20%)
63.92% (G:16.63% B:1.11%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.442...-0.416) - [100.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 8/4 5/1*(2) | eq: -0.556 (-0.127) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.10% (G:15.31% B:0.30%)
66.90% (G:17.19% B:1.08%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.572...-0.539) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 6/2(2) 5/1* | eq: -0.726 (-0.297) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.25% (G:16.09% B:0.50%)
67.75% (G:23.35% B:2.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.746...-0.707) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 8/4 6/2(2) | eq: -0.802 (-0.373) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.15% (G:11.51% B:0.33%)
69.85% (G:18.52% B:1.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.818...-0.785) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2