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Explain this XG result please

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Monday, 28 April 2014, at 6:15 p.m.

Mark Antrinikian flummoxed many of us with this position at LV. How is coming out good enough to overcome the 33 11 and other better 3s?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 79
Unlimited Game
pip: 140
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBB---------AAbbbBce-A:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout1Bar/24 21/16eq: +0.493
Player:
Opponent:
64.68% (G:14.27% B:0.61%)
35.32% (G:18.59% B:0.15%)
Conf.: 0.015 (+0.478...+0.508) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 40 minutes
2.Rollout2Bar/24 17/12eq: +0.442 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:
63.78% (G:12.69% B:0.42%)
36.22% (G:17.52% B:0.32%)
Conf.: 0.011 (+0.430...+0.453) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 09 minutes
3.3-plyBar/24 16/11eq: +0.312 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:
62.29% (G:11.31% B:0.43%)
37.71% (G:17.74% B:0.25%)
4.1-plyBar/24 6/1* eq: -0.934 (-1.427)
Player:
Opponent:
38.81% (G:5.66% B:0.11%)
61.19% (G:42.34% B:1.41%)
1 515 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++

2 518 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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