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52S-63R-42 (Bower-Mochy Chicago Open)

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 30 May 2014, at 12:42 a.m.

Does anybody have a long unlimited XG rollout of 52S-63R-42?

A search of the BGO archives reveals that Stick asked about 52S-63R-42 back in 2007, when lucky player, neilkaz, and Philippe Michel all voted for 42P. Nack reported some Snowie truncated rollouts here and here, which had 42@ coming out slightly ahead, in accordance with the "either 5pt beats either 4pt" rule of thumb.

In the diagram below, the score makes a difference, presumably pushing 42P ahead of 42@ (if indeed 42P is not already ahead of 42@ for money). Chuck played 42P over the board.





White is Bower

score: 0
pip: 160
9 point match
pip: 158
score: 3

Blue is Mochizuki
XGID=-a-a--E-C---dE-A-d-e----A-:0:0:-1:42:3:0:0:9:10
White to play 42

1.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: +0.210
Player:
Opponent:		52.42% (G:15.56% B:0.42%)
47.58% (G:10.01% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 22/20eq: +0.188 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		52.63% (G:10.60% B:0.23%)
47.37% (G:5.46% B:0.17%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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