Interesting positions and analysis as usual, Nack.
I don't seem to have saved any of the positions that led me to my rule of thumb in the first place, but below is an approximate reconstruction of one of them from memory. Any comments on this?
          
 
      
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 66 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 107
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-BBBBBB-------b-a--bBbbccA:1:1:1:15:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 15 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 2/1 | eq: -0.361 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 27.97% (G:1.58% B:0.03%)
72.03% (G:4.54% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.366...-0.357) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 5/4 | eq: -0.383 (-0.022) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 27.32% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
72.68% (G:4.49% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.388...-0.379) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 33 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 6/5 | eq: -0.385 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 27.31% (G:1.27% B:0.03%)
72.69% (G:4.04% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.390...-0.381) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 3/2 | eq: -0.388 (-0.026) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 27.11% (G:1.37% B:0.03%)
72.89% (G:4.80% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.392...-0.383) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 4/3 | eq: -0.395 (-0.033) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 26.91% (G:1.46% B:0.03%)
73.09% (G:4.55% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.399...-0.390) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10