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Backgammon Literature - Doubling

Posted By: Casper Van der Tak
Date: Tuesday, 12 August 2014, at 6:40 a.m.

In Response To: Backgammon Literature - Doubling (Chris Bray)

Consider the following sequences after the cube turn: non-ace followed by an ace, and non-ace followed by a 6. These sequences happen 500 out of 1296 cases, and you are going to be a favorite in each of these cases. For this to be a drop, you'd need to be a huge underdog on the remaining cases, and that does not look realistic at all (dance, non-ace/six, dance should also be reasonable for the taker and happens in about 40% or so of the remaining 792 cases), so take with a lot to spare.

You cube because you are a good favorite, a 3 is a killer, and the score is not a reason to be ultraconservative.

This was my BTS (behind the screen) reasoning.

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