Backgammon Literature - Doubling
Posted By: hominid In Response To: Backgammon Literature - Doubling (Chris Bray)
Date: Tuesday, 12 August 2014, at 12:32 p.m.
In Response To: Backgammon Literature - Doubling (Chris Bray)
To say backgammon is a game of roll odds is a truism indeed. Very often being aware of roll odds can help determine cube decisions. Ideally perhaps brainpower limits this to maybe three roll situations with a bucket full of musing. At the least it does for me. I note that the hit chance is 30%. A miss and cover by Brown is 21%. To spring browns runners in two rolls is about 12%. After plenty of musing I cube. If I were Brown I would drop as I don't like the Gammon chances involved here even at this match score.
I thought it a tad unkind to term a book garbage simply because we have the might of XG to polish our opinions now. If one is serious about their PR they will do well to master the cube as XG is merciless on errors. The streaming was a little cranky, I never got to see the game concerned. I wonder how did the Champs fare?
To amuse myself I played through the position a couple of times. On the first roll white missed and Brown rolled 66. On the restart white hit with 35. What a stupid game backgammon is messing with my percentages.
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