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RO & OTB

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 5 September 2014, at 11:39 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action vs. well-timed 1-4 backgame (John O'Hagan)

OTB, XG doubled and I incorrectly passed. The RO shows this to be a clear take and that the double/no double decision is TCTC. I guess the 1-4 game is much better than I thought. The open 2-point adds a little extra vig for the defender in this position as well.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 208
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 101
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=bb-CbBC-CC--bA---b-c-b----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 58.65% (G:40.10% B:7.55%) 58.43% (G:39.69% B:7.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.35% (G:3.05% B:0.13%) 41.57% (G:3.01% B:0.12%)
Cubeless Equities +0.618 +1.216
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.815 (-0.008)±0.010 (+0.805..+0.825)
Double/Take:+0.823±0.014 (+0.809..+0.837)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.177)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:82.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 42 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

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