Just for giggles... Rollouts and Commentary

Just a little giggle and glee! That’s what I felt when I saw the mess my opponent GnuBg was in.

I am trailing by almost 20 pips, so I really do want to get a hit. Maximum contact is the way to go. Play 8/3 in Position 1 and 9/4 in Position 2.

When I noticed the perfect duplication of 1 and 3 in Position 1, I suspected that it had nothing to do with the reasons for wide open play. I set up Position 2 to test the theory. As you can see in the rollouts, volunteering a double-direct shot is correct by a long shot both with and without duplication. Safe play is a double-whopper in either position.

Position 1

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 73

Unlimited Game

pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=--BBBBBbB-A--B-----a-cah--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

Blue to play 32

Rollout¹

8/3

eq: +0.4543

Player:
Opponent:

69.00% (G:16.83% B:1.45%)
31.00% (G:0.61% B:0.01%)

Conf.: ±0.0028 (+0.4515...+0.4571) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 44 seconds

Rollout¹

8/6 4/1

eq: +0.4287 (-0.0256)

Player:
Opponent:

67.88% (G:18.26% B:1.49%)
32.12% (G:2.18% B:0.03%)

Conf.: ±0.0034 (+0.4253...+0.4320) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 50 seconds

Rollout¹

8/5 3/1

eq: +0.4261 (-0.0282)

Player:
Opponent:

67.78% (G:17.93% B:1.44%)
32.22% (G:1.64% B:0.02%)

Conf.: ±0.0031 (+0.4230...+0.4293) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 03 seconds

Rollout¹

8/6 8/5

eq: +0.4119 (-0.0424)

Player:
Opponent:

68.39% (G:14.61% B:1.06%)
31.61% (G:0.52% B:0.01%)

Conf.: ±0.0028 (+0.4090...+0.4147) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds

Rollout¹

8/5 4/2

eq: +0.3596 (-0.0947)

Player:
Opponent:

65.96% (G:15.42% B:1.19%)
34.04% (G:1.42% B:0.02%)

Conf.: ±0.0031 (+0.3565...+0.3627) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds

Rollout¹

8/6 5/2

eq: +0.3556 (-0.0987)

Player:
Opponent:

65.80% (G:15.20% B:1.21%)
34.20% (G:1.40% B:0.02%)

Conf.: ±0.0032 (+0.3524...+0.3587) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 32 seconds

Rollout¹

4/1 3/1

eq: +0.3273 (-0.1270)

Player:
Opponent:

65.16% (G:14.20% B:0.98%)
34.84% (G:1.47% B:0.01%)

Conf.: ±0.0032 (+0.3240...+0.3305) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 55 seconds

Rollout¹

6/1

eq: +0.3265 (-0.1278)

Player:
Opponent:

65.09% (G:14.12% B:0.99%)
34.91% (G:1.35% B:0.02%)

Conf.: ±0.0034 (+0.3231...+0.3299) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 54 seconds

Rollout¹

8/5 6/4

eq: +0.3169 (-0.1374)

Player:
Opponent:

64.74% (G:14.72% B:1.09%)
35.26% (G:1.64% B:0.02%)

Conf.: ±0.0032 (+0.3137...+0.3202) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 00 second

10.

Rollout¹

13/11 8/5

eq: +0.2959 (-0.1584)

Player:
Opponent:

64.59% (G:14.70% B:1.03%)
35.41% (G:2.23% B:0.04%)

Conf.: ±0.0033 (+0.2926...+0.2993) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 30 seconds

11.

Rollout¹

10/5

eq: +0.2783 (-0.1760)

Player:
Opponent:

64.63% (G:10.47% B:0.57%)
35.37% (G:0.46% B:0.00%)

Conf.: ±0.0029 (+0.2754...+0.2812) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75401094
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Position 2

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 73

Unlimited Game

pip: 95
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=--BBBBBb-B-A-B-----a-cah--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

Blue to play 32

Rollout¹

9/4

eq: +0.5412

Player:
Opponent:

72.20% (G:18.22% B:1.43%)
27.80% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)

Conf.: ±0.0029 (+0.5383...+0.5441) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds

Rollout¹

9/6 3/1

eq: +0.4592 (-0.0820)

Player:
Opponent:

69.30% (G:19.13% B:1.38%)
30.70% (G:3.16% B:0.07%)

Conf.: ±0.0035 (+0.4557...+0.4627) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 03 seconds

Rollout¹

9/6 5/3

eq: +0.4205 (-0.1207)

Player:
Opponent:

68.28% (G:17.21% B:1.23%)
31.72% (G:2.53% B:0.04%)

Conf.: ±0.0032 (+0.4173...+0.4238) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds

Rollout¹

9/6 4/2

eq: +0.4126 (-0.1286)

Player:
Opponent:

68.09% (G:16.62% B:1.17%)
31.91% (G:2.32% B:0.05%)

Conf.: ±0.0037 (+0.4089...+0.4163) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 18 seconds

Rollout¹

13/11 9/6

eq: +0.3958 (-0.1454)

Player:
Opponent:

66.61% (G:17.73% B:1.29%)
33.39% (G:1.12% B:0.01%)

Conf.: ±0.0035 (+0.3923...+0.3993) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds

Rollout¹

6/1

eq: +0.3781 (-0.1631)

Player:
Opponent:

67.26% (G:15.35% B:0.88%)
32.74% (G:2.37% B:0.03%)

Conf.: ±0.0034 (+0.3747...+0.3815) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 45 seconds

Rollout¹

4/1 3/1

eq: +0.3646 (-0.1766)

Player:
Opponent:

66.99% (G:14.54% B:0.86%)
33.01% (G:2.20% B:0.04%)

Conf.: ±0.0036 (+0.3610...+0.3682) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 44 seconds

Rollout¹

11/8 3/1

eq: +0.3552 (-0.1860)

Player:
Opponent:

65.45% (G:15.63% B:1.13%)
34.55% (G:1.26% B:0.02%)

Conf.: ±0.0033 (+0.3518...+0.3585) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 40 seconds

Rollout¹

13/8

eq: +0.3171 (-0.2241)

Player:
Opponent:

64.00% (G:17.01% B:1.13%)
36.00% (G:1.67% B:0.02%)

Conf.: ±0.0034 (+0.3137...+0.3205) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 34 seconds

10.

Rollout¹

11/6

eq: +0.3116 (-0.2296)

Player:
Opponent:

64.98% (G:12.30% B:0.73%)
35.02% (G:0.58% B:0.00%)

Conf.: ±0.0031 (+0.3085...+0.3147) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 33 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 40973679
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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