Jacobs/Trice Fish book - a proposed computer experiment
Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 27 November 2014, at 3:16 p.m.
While playing with Murat the Troll over on r.g.b., I was led to consider the following computer experiment. I'm not adept enough with GNU to actually carry it out, but I hope someone else will attempt it.
The idea is to play GNU against itself with different settings. Call the two sides GNU A and GNU B. GNU A is simply GNU 2-ply with a standard MET. GNU B, however, has noise added to its checker plays (but not its cube decisions), and uses a fish MET. The exact choice of noise level and the exact choice of fish MET will probably need to be tuned experimentally, but the idea is to pick a fish MET that will compensate for the checker-play errors. The goal is to pick a combination that will cause the standard formulas for converting error rate into Elo difference (or more precisely, odds of GNU A beating GNU B) to be as inaccurate as possible.
The goal of the experiment is twofold. First, it will give a quantitative estimate of how much a weaker player can hope to benefit from aggressive cube play. (The estimate won't be perfect of course, since human players make cube errors, and don't make "random" checker-play errors, but it should give us some idea.) Second, it will give us some idea of how robust the standard formulas for converting between error rate and Elo are.
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