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Another Variant

Posted By: David Presser
Date: Tuesday, 23 December 2014, at 8:45 p.m.

In Response To: Prime v. Prime Cube - Rollout + Variant (Stick)

I see it as mostly about the timing and every pip (or expected pip) counts. Here is an interesting variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 109
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BBBBBBA------bbcbcB--b-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.95% (G:14.29% B:0.33%) 74.63% (G:15.08% B:0.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.05% (G:4.50% B:0.13%) 25.37% (G:4.48% B:0.12%)
Cubeless Equities +0.579 +1.202
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.761 (-0.239)±0.008 (+0.752..+0.769)
Double/Take:+1.008 (+0.008)±0.010 (+0.997..+1.018)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 5322817
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:92.6%
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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