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32D-33C-22B-31 -- Rollout and analysis

Posted By: Igor
Date: Sunday, 28 December 2014, at 4:31 p.m.

In Response To: 32D-33C-22B-31 (Igor)

The safe play, as ugly as it looks, is best here. I think given that white has such an inflexible position with three stripped points and only 6 and 8 poits having spares to play with, we should not give her targets for tempo hits.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b-BE-A---bEb--d-e-B----:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.023
Player:
Opponent:		49.95% (G:10.87% B:0.36%)
50.05% (G:8.50% B:0.33%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.018...+0.028) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
2.Rollout113/10 6/5eq: +0.007 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		49.55% (G:12.24% B:0.44%)
50.45% (G:9.93% B:0.41%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.002...+0.012) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes
3.Rollout213/10 8/7eq: -0.024 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		48.67% (G:12.22% B:0.45%)
51.33% (G:9.98% B:0.40%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.031...-0.016) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 45 seconds
4.Rollout28/4eq: -0.024 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		48.72% (G:11.79% B:0.40%)
51.28% (G:9.43% B:0.37%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.031...-0.017) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 16 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 77142738
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 77142738
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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