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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 30 December 2014, at 5:54 a.m.

In Response To: Try your favorite race formula...analysis (Kevin McDonough)

This is a race so a rollout is almost instantious and more accurate to see the magnitude of the error in taking. Please post rollouts. This one took a minute out of my life.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 70
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 64
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CCBBB---AbB------aaaabeb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.832% (G:0.041% B:0.001%) 78.843% (G:0.046% B:0.001%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.168% (G:0.013% B:0.000%) 21.157% (G:0.019% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5769 +1.1543
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8416 (-0.1584)±0.0009 (+0.8407..+0.8425)
Double/Take:+1.0218 (+0.0218)±0.0013 (+1.0205..+1.0230)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
51840 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 57.2 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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