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Cube Action - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 10 January 2015, at 9:45 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Action (Stick)

I figured the cube action would be all over the place on this one. I can't even imagine if this came up in a lively chouette. There would be doubles, drops, and beavers if players were strong enough.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 105
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBBBBB----b----bAbbbbAbA-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 46.96% (G:21.01% B:0.03%) 47.65% (G:20.88% B:0.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 53.04% (G:11.52% B:0.54%) 52.35% (G:11.42% B:0.55%)
Cubeless Equities +0.029 +0.085
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.138±0.010 (+0.128..+0.147)
Redouble/Beaver:-0.751 (-0.889)±0.034 (-0.785..-0.717)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.862)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 33.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13330166
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 39 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release

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