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You Don’t See This Every Day

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Wednesday, 4 February 2015, at 8:18 a.m.

In Response To: You Don’t See This Every Day (Martin)

Nice position. Do you think a rollout could change things, despite the big differences at XGR++?

Thanks, Martin. I am not sure whether 3-ply/XGR can do justice to the position, but here is my rollout nevertheless. Although the margin is smaller, switching to the 4pt still comes out decisively ahead.

Mike

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 156 Unlimited Game pip: 182 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Baa-aB-C---bD-baa-dA--bC-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.	Rollout1	6/5*(2) 5/4(2)	eq: -0.5738
	Player: Opponent: 38.12% (G:10.82% B:0.46%) 61.88% (G:24.69% B:2.28%) Conf.: ±0.0052 (-0.5790...-0.5686) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 56 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/5* 5/4	eq: -0.5930 (-0.0192)
	Player: Opponent: 38.26% (G:11.48% B:0.51%) 61.74% (G:28.51% B:3.78%) Conf.: ±0.0054 (-0.5983...-0.5876) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 10 minutes
3.	Rollout2	8/7(2) 6/5*(2)	eq: -0.6140 (-0.0402)
	Player: Opponent: 37.16% (G:10.81% B:0.50%) 62.84% (G:27.53% B:3.43%) Conf.: ±0.0113 (-0.6253...-0.6026) - [0.0%] Duration: 55 minutes 01 second
4.	Rollout3	6/5* 5/3* 3/2*	eq: -0.6334 (-0.0596)
	Player: Opponent: 36.95% (G:10.81% B:0.47%) 63.05% (G:28.23% B:3.57%) Conf.: ±0.0149 (-0.6483...-0.6185) - [0.0%] Duration: 41 minutes 23 seconds
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 40749262 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 40749262 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 40749262 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2015-Feb-03 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658 43D-21$-43H-55P-21H-21H-65K-51-63C-11-n-tm.xgp n[I 419 N40 260] "<=15*7 5 n[I 432 N79 2107] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• You Don’t See This Every Day
  Taper_Mike -- Monday, 2 February 2015, at 4:58 a.m.
  • You Don’t See This Every Day
    Martin -- Monday, 2 February 2015, at 9:47 p.m.
    • You Don’t See This Every Day
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 4 February 2015, at 8:18 a.m.
      • You Don’t See This Every Day
        Martin -- Wednesday, 4 February 2015, at 5:51 p.m.