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Prime or Attack? What's Best? **ROLLOUT**
Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 8 February 2015, at 7:40 p.m.
In Response To: Prime or Attack? What's Best? **ROLLOUT** (Michael Depreli)
I've been spending a little time with this position of Michael's, which I feel is extremely interesting. I don't have any deep insight to contribute (yet) but here at least are two variants to ponder.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 88Unlimited Game pip: 109
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaBBBCAAAAbbcbbba:1:1:1:51:0:0:0:0:10 Blue to play 51
1. Rollout^{1} 9/4* 5/4 eq: +0.183
Player:
Opponent:54.48% (G:4.71% B:0.10%)
45.52% (G:21.18% B:1.01%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.175...+0.191)  [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 09 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 14/9 11/10 eq: +0.165 (0.018)
Player:
Opponent:52.70% (G:3.07% B:0.09%)
47.30% (G:15.15% B:0.12%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.158...+0.172)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 38 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 13/12 9/4* eq: +0.144 (0.039)
Player:
Opponent:52.63% (G:4.67% B:0.14%)
47.37% (G:20.23% B:0.61%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.137...+0.152)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 11/10 9/4* eq: +0.136 (0.047)
Player:
Opponent:53.52% (G:4.80% B:0.14%)
46.48% (G:23.17% B:1.04%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.129...+0.143)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 34 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 14/13 9/4* eq: +0.126 (0.057)
Player:
Opponent:51.40% (G:4.39% B:0.12%)
48.60% (G:17.29% B:0.17%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.118...+0.133)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds6. Rollout^{1} 9/4* 8/7 eq: +0.122 (0.061)
Player:
Opponent:52.34% (G:4.28% B:0.11%)
47.66% (G:20.62% B:0.57%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.114...+0.129)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 34 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.prerelease
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 89Unlimited Game pip: 108
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaBBCBAAAAbcbbbba:1:1:1:51:0:0:0:0:10 Blue to play 51
1. Rollout^{1} 9/4* 7/6 eq: +0.242
Player:
Opponent:55.77% (G:5.79% B:0.14%)
44.23% (G:18.05% B:0.70%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.237...+0.247)  [99.7%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 14/9 7/6 eq: +0.231 (0.011)
Player:
Opponent:52.33% (G:3.11% B:0.08%)
47.67% (G:6.38% B:0.09%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.225...+0.237)  [0.3%]
Duration: 6 minutes 04 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 14/9 11/10 eq: +0.225 (0.017)
Player:
Opponent:54.02% (G:3.62% B:0.11%)
45.98% (G:12.28% B:0.13%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.218...+0.232)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 9/4* 5/4 eq: +0.207 (0.035)
Player:
Opponent:55.21% (G:5.37% B:0.11%)
44.79% (G:19.17% B:0.97%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.201...+0.213)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 47 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 11/10 9/4* eq: +0.204 (0.038)
Player:
Opponent:55.51% (G:5.52% B:0.13%)
44.49% (G:19.84% B:0.94%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.198...+0.210)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 43 seconds6. Rollout^{1} 13/12 9/4* eq: +0.204 (0.038)
Player:
Opponent:54.24% (G:5.38% B:0.13%)
45.76% (G:18.37% B:0.54%)Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.193...+0.215)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 27 seconds7. Rollout^{1} 14/13 9/4* eq: +0.181 (0.061)
Player:
Opponent:52.51% (G:5.21% B:0.13%)
47.49% (G:15.57% B:0.16%)Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.169...+0.193)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 27 seconds8. Rollout^{1} 9/4* 4/3 eq: +0.155 (0.087)
Player:
Opponent:53.21% (G:5.00% B:0.12%)
46.79% (G:17.23% B:0.40%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.146...+0.164)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 48 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.prerelease

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