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Real "Wachtel" position -- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Monday, 4 May 2015, at 10:20 p.m.

In Response To: Real "Wachtel" position (Mochy)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 28
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=bAAA-----a------bbbbbbA---:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69,83% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 70,32% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30,17% (G:4,38% B:1,08%) 29,68% (G:4,43% B:0,97%)
Cubeless Equities +0,342 +0,704
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0,720±0,009 (+0,711..+0,729)
Redouble/Take:+0,515 (-0,205)±0,013 (+0,502..+0,528)
Redouble/Pass:+1,000 (+0,280)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 29,7%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 1 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 5 hours 53 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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