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*Rollout* - 31 to play at DMP

Posted By: Chase
Date: Sunday, 18 October 2015, at 6:36 a.m.

In Response To: 31 to play at DMP (Chase)

I anchored up in anticipation of a hitting exchange, and particularly trying to avoid the several double hits. I felt a bit thin up front to play 6/3* -- it goes too deep and I'm short on covers. The main reason I posted the position is that 18/15 surprised me. I considered it briefly, then dismissed it as I felt I should stay on the barpoint due to my racing deficit. Kudos to Chuck for finding the correct play.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
1 point match
pip: 176
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--Ba--C-Ba-bcC-A-cBcb--A-A:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout1Bar/24 18/15eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:
36.71% (G:9.42% B:0.77%)
63.29% (G:25.40% B:3.94%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.267...-0.265) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 42 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/24 6/3* eq: -0.269 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
36.55% (G:8.83% B:0.83%)
63.45% (G:29.23% B:5.83%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.270...-0.268) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 hours 33 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/21eq: -0.287 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
35.65% (G:9.04% B:0.85%)
64.35% (G:29.87% B:4.49%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.295...-0.279) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 35 seconds
4.Rollout2Bar/22 23/22eq: -0.290 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
35.52% (G:8.85% B:0.79%)
64.48% (G:27.32% B:3.25%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.296...-0.283) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 52 seconds
5.Rollout2Bar/22 15/14eq: -0.298 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
35.12% (G:8.79% B:1.03%)
64.88% (G:27.50% B:4.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.304...-0.291) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 33 seconds
1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47676897
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47676897
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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