This is an excellent illustration about the principles of cubing at 2away/2away. I don't think a lot of people as Blue would think about doubling here. You won't often be in a position just like this, but you will be in many situations at this score where you should double and it doesn't look that promising for you. The key is not just that you could lose your market, it is if you are also likely to have a take next roll if you don't roll a good number.
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| XGID=--BBCbBB-----C-babbb-bbA--:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:5:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
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| XGID=--BBCbBB-----C-babbb-bbA--:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:5:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 36.80% (G:10.46% B:0.33%) | 36.55% (G:11.50% B:0.32%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 63.20% (G:11.35% B:0.74%) | 63.45% (G:12.14% B:0.80%) |
| Cubeless Equities | -0.280 | -0.758 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | -0.766 (-0.008) | ±0.010 (-0.776..-0.756) |
| Double/Take: | -0.758 | ±0.012 (-0.771..-0.746) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+1.758) | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1194 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 82.4% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 10 minutes 42 seconds | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2