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Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 9 December 2015, at 1:43 a.m.

In Response To: XGR++ (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 138
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-BBB-C-AAbA--cd-e--B-A-:0:0:1:22:0:1:1:2:10

Original Position


1.XG Roller++22/18(2)eq: +0.461
Player:
Opponent:		57.31% (G:15.73% B:0.39%)
42.69% (G:11.50% B:0.58%)
2.XG Roller++22/20 8/2* eq: +0.423 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		52.67% (G:18.49% B:0.54%)
47.33% (G:15.50% B:1.49%)
3.XG Roller++11/9 8/2* eq: +0.412 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		52.23% (G:18.37% B:0.49%)
47.77% (G:14.06% B:0.82%)
4.XG Roller++22/20(2) 13/11 8/6eq: +0.406 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		53.72% (G:16.56% B:0.33%)
46.28% (G:8.75% B:0.35%)
5.XG Roller++22/20(2) 4/2*(2) eq: +0.403 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		52.06% (G:18.09% B:0.35%)
47.94% (G:10.03% B:0.51%)
6.XG Roller++13/11 8/2* eq: +0.392 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		51.80% (G:17.81% B:0.40%)
48.20% (G:12.63% B:0.69%)
7.XG Roller++22/20(2) 11/7eq: +0.390 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		54.90% (G:14.62% B:0.38%)
45.10% (G:11.17% B:0.49%)
8.XG Roller++22/20(2) 13/9eq: +0.390 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		54.12% (G:15.39% B:0.36%)
45.88% (G:9.24% B:0.37%)

Above is the XGR++ evaluation (copied from Tim's post) of the original position.

The play that dominates in the original position is only sixth best in the variant (below).

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 144
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-BBB-C-AAbAc--d-e--B-A-:0:0:1:22:0:1:1:2:10

Variant Position
Compared to the original, White has her 11pt instead of 9pt


1.Rollout122/20(2) 13/11 8/6eq: +0.622
Player:
Opponent:		57.89% (G:23.22% B:1.49%)
42.11% (G:9.91% B:0.78%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.618...+0.626) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 13 minutes
2.Rollout113/11 8/2* eq: +0.610 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		56.64% (G:23.85% B:1.50%)
43.36% (G:13.17% B:1.62%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.605...+0.614) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 34 minutes
3.Rollout111/9 8/2* eq: +0.605 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		56.58% (G:23.69% B:1.56%)
43.42% (G:15.10% B:2.13%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.601...+0.610) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes
4.Rollout122/20(2) 13/9eq: +0.603 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		58.33% (G:21.83% B:1.38%)
41.67% (G:10.91% B:0.92%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.599...+0.607) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 09 minutes
5.Rollout222/20(2) 11/7eq: +0.589 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		58.61% (G:20.85% B:1.32%)
41.39% (G:13.43% B:1.15%)		Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.583...+0.595) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 14 minutes
6.Rollout222/18(2)eq: +0.586 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		58.81% (G:20.48% B:1.66%)
41.19% (G:13.12% B:1.20%)		Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.580...+0.591) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes
7.Rollout322/20 8/6 4/2*(2) eq: +0.577 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		54.82% (G:24.04% B:1.55%)
45.18% (G:13.52% B:2.24%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.568...+0.586) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 28 seconds
8.Rollout322/20(2) 4/2*(2) eq: +0.576 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		55.87% (G:22.92% B:0.91%)
44.13% (G:10.45% B:1.11%)		Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.567...+0.584) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 02 seconds
9.Rollout311/9 8/6 4/2*(2) eq: +0.575 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		54.35% (G:24.41% B:1.50%)
45.65% (G:13.64% B:1.71%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.566...+0.584) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 08 seconds
10.Rollout322/20(2) 13/11 10/8eq: +0.573 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		57.15% (G:21.52% B:1.00%)
42.85% (G:9.36% B:1.10%)		Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.565...+0.581) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 54 seconds
11.Rollout310/2* eq: +0.573 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		55.46% (G:23.18% B:1.69%)
44.54% (G:15.00% B:2.23%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.564...+0.582) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 39 seconds
12.Rollout322/20(2) 10/6eq: +0.572 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		56.58% (G:22.04% B:1.23%)
43.42% (G:11.97% B:1.11%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.563...+0.581) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 58 seconds
13.Rollout322/20(2) 8/4eq: +0.571 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		56.34% (G:22.20% B:1.55%)
43.66% (G:12.79% B:1.01%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.562...+0.579) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 27 seconds
14.Rollout313/11 8/6 4/2*(2) eq: +0.565 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		54.67% (G:23.59% B:0.90%)
45.33% (G:11.67% B:1.39%)		Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.557...+0.574) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 12 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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