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Nine Best Plays -- Part 2

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 28 December 2015, at 5:24 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 119 Unlimited Game pip: 138 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCB--A-bBb-B--eAcaa--:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	20/15	eq: +0.596
	Player: Opponent: 66.62% (G:13.48% B:0.56%) 33.38% (G:10.41% B:0.22%) Conf.: � 0.014 (+0.582...+0.610) - [100.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 29 seconds
2.	Rollout1	20/17 10/8	eq: +0.517 (-0.079)
	Player: Opponent: 64.70% (G:16.42% B:0.91%) 35.30% (G:13.87% B:0.40%) Conf.: � 0.017 (+0.501...+0.534) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 14 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: +0.479 (-0.117)
	Player: Opponent: 64.22% (G:18.76% B:1.04%) 35.78% (G:16.24% B:0.77%) Conf.: � 0.013 (+0.466...+0.493) - [0.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 40 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/11 13/10	eq: +0.410 (-0.186)
	Player: Opponent: 61.54% (G:15.50% B:0.75%) 38.46% (G:12.82% B:0.39%) Conf.: � 0.013 (+0.398...+0.423) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 49 seconds
5.	Rollout1	10/5	eq: +0.394 (-0.202)
	Player: Opponent: 60.76% (G:16.05% B:0.80%) 39.24% (G:13.01% B:0.30%) Conf.: � 0.015 (+0.379...+0.409) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 47 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

This is part 2 (of a two-part message). Part 1 was posted here.

Above is Tim's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants 5 through 8 (in a 2x2 grid, if you widen your window). They contrast with the original, with each other, and with variants 1 through 4 (which were posted in part 1).

[Variant 8 oversteps my guidelines, in that the best play is a candidate that doesn't exist in the original position, but I thought it interesting enough to include anyway.]

Between these two posts (part 1 and part 2), there are NINE related positions, each having a different best play.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 119 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 141 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCB----bCb-B--eAcaa--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 5 Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 10/13

1.	Rollout1	20/17 13/11	eq: +0.447
	Player: Opponent: 63.01% (G:13.69% B:0.62%) 36.99% (G:12.67% B:0.31%) Conf.: กำ 0.007 (+0.440...+0.454) - [59.8%] Duration: 2 hours 43 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: +0.445 (-0.003)
	Player: Opponent: 62.75% (G:16.88% B:0.88%) 37.25% (G:15.37% B:0.43%) Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.438...+0.451) - [23.1%] Duration: 2 hours 20 minutes
3.	Rollout1	20/15	eq: +0.444 (-0.004)
	Player: Opponent: 62.93% (G:11.81% B:0.51%) 37.07% (G:11.49% B:0.23%) Conf.: กำ 0.007 (+0.437...+0.451) - [17.1%] Duration: 2 hours 50 minutes
4.	Rollout2	13/11 13/10	eq: +0.398 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 62.17% (G:16.12% B:0.93%) 37.83% (G:17.67% B:0.74%) Conf.: กำ 0.014 (+0.384...+0.412) - [0.0%] Duration: 42 minutes 03 seconds
5.	Rollout2	20/18 13/10	eq: +0.390 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 61.29% (G:14.67% B:0.72%) 38.71% (G:13.19% B:0.32%) Conf.: กำ 0.014 (+0.376...+0.404) - [0.0%] Duration: 47 minutes 50 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 65876923 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 65876923 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 119 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCB----bBb-C--eAcaa--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 6 Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 10/16

1.	Rollout1	16/11	eq: +0.387
	Player: Opponent: 61.15% (G:15.30% B:0.80%) 38.85% (G:15.12% B:0.38%) Conf.: กำ 0.007 (+0.380...+0.394) - [99.0%] Duration: 2 hours 22 minutes
2.	Rollout1	20/15	eq: +0.376 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 60.82% (G:11.58% B:0.48%) 39.18% (G:12.09% B:0.22%) Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.369...+0.382) - [1.0%] Duration: 2 hours 59 minutes
3.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: +0.354 (-0.033)
	Player: Opponent: 60.49% (G:17.16% B:1.02%) 39.51% (G:17.95% B:0.56%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.346...+0.362) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 21 minutes
4.	Rollout2	13/11 13/10	eq: +0.311 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 58.83% (G:15.07% B:0.75%) 41.17% (G:15.62% B:0.50%) Conf.: กำ 0.016 (+0.295...+0.326) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 12 seconds
5.	Rollout2	20/17 13/11	eq: +0.301 (-0.086)
	Player: Opponent: 59.34% (G:13.84% B:0.75%) 40.66% (G:15.66% B:0.42%) Conf.: กำ 0.014 (+0.287...+0.315) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 55 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

 

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 119 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 130 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBBC---A-bBb-B--eAcaa--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 7 Compared to the original, Blue has his 3pt instead of 7pt

1.	Rollout1	6/1*	eq: +0.655
	Player: Opponent: 64.20% (G:23.66% B:0.79%) 35.80% (G:12.79% B:0.52%) Conf.: กำ 0.010 (+0.645...+0.666) - [100.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 26 seconds
2.	Rollout1	20/15	eq: +0.592 (-0.064)
	Player: Opponent: 65.61% (G:14.53% B:0.53%) 34.39% (G:8.50% B:0.19%) Conf.: กำ 0.014 (+0.578...+0.605) - [0.0%] Duration: 54 minutes 27 seconds
3.	Rollout1	20/17 10/8	eq: +0.512 (-0.143)
	Player: Opponent: 63.23% (G:16.98% B:0.74%) 36.77% (G:9.69% B:0.29%) Conf.: กำ 0.015 (+0.498...+0.527) - [0.0%] Duration: 50 minutes 23 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 117 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 136 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCB--A-Bbb-B--eAcaa--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 8 Compared to the original, the midpoints are swapped

1.	Rollout1	12/9 10/8	eq: +0.668
	Player: Opponent: 68.35% (G:17.63% B:0.93%) 31.65% (G:13.17% B:0.59%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.660...+0.677) - [86.8%] Duration: 3 hours 44 minutes
2.	Rollout1	20/15	eq: +0.662 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 68.40% (G:11.92% B:0.53%) 31.60% (G:9.29% B:0.28%) Conf.: กำ 0.007 (+0.656...+0.669) - [13.2%] Duration: 4 hours 18 minutes
3.	Rollout2	20/18 12/9	eq: +0.582 (-0.087)
	Player: Opponent: 67.10% (G:15.34% B:0.94%) 32.90% (G:12.18% B:0.46%) Conf.: กำ 0.013 (+0.569...+0.595) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 38 seconds
4.	Rollout2	12/9 6/4	eq: +0.568 (-0.100)
	Player: Opponent: 65.77% (G:15.42% B:0.81%) 34.23% (G:12.51% B:0.47%) Conf.: กำ 0.014 (+0.554...+0.582) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 14 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 65876923 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 65876923 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

 

Messages In This Thread

• This is some kind of priming or containment game, I guess
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 December 2015, at 10:00 p.m.
  • This is some kind of priming or containment game, I guess
    Keene -- Saturday, 19 December 2015, at 10:23 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 20 December 2015, at 11:11 p.m.
    • Nine Best Plays -- Part 1
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 28 December 2015, at 4:27 a.m.
    • Nine Best Plays -- Part 2
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 28 December 2015, at 5:24 a.m.
  • This is some kind of priming or containment game, I guess
    hominid -- Monday, 21 December 2015, at 9:47 p.m.