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Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 1 January 2016, at 8:26 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (KenB)





White is Player 1

score: 1
pip: 124
7 point match
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aaBB--CB--A-AC---c-e-Ac-b-:0:0:-1:11:1:0:0:7:10

Original Position


1.Rollout1Bar/24 8/7 6/4* eq: -0.4451
Player:
Opponent:		36.16% (G:16.13% B:0.36%)
63.84% (G:17.93% B:1.41%)		Conf.: �0.0102 (-0.4554...-0.4349) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24 6/4* 3/2eq: -0.5059 (-0.0607)
Player:
Opponent:		34.50% (G:15.06% B:0.47%)
65.50% (G:18.89% B:1.68%)		Conf.: �0.0220 (-0.5279...-0.4839) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 43 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/24 6/5(2) 3/2eq: -0.5295 (-0.0844)
Player:
Opponent:		35.86% (G:12.57% B:0.23%)
64.14% (G:13.75% B:0.64%)		Conf.: �0.0104 (-0.5400...-0.5191) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/24 6/4* 4/3eq: -0.5434 (-0.0982)
Player:
Opponent:		35.80% (G:12.61% B:0.31%)
64.20% (G:16.39% B:0.75%)		Conf.: �0.0109 (-0.5543...-0.5325) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 15 seconds
5.Rollout1Bar/24 6/5(3)eq: -0.5959 (-0.1508)
Player:
Opponent:		34.09% (G:10.52% B:0.24%)
65.91% (G:13.81% B:0.62%)		Conf.: �0.0096 (-0.6055...-0.5863) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 02 seconds
6.Rollout1Bar/24 6/5 6/4* eq: -0.6602 (-0.2151)
Player:
Opponent:		32.55% (G:14.41% B:0.52%)
67.45% (G:20.16% B:1.92%)		Conf.: �0.0206 (-0.6809...-0.6396) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ken's rollout of the original position is above.

Below are two variants (rolled out before seeing Ken's variants) that contrast with the original position and with each other.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 127
7 point match
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-Ca-E-C---da----bc--bbAA:0:0:1:11:0:1:0:7:10

Variant 1
Compared to the original, White is adjusted by 10/13


1.Rollout1Bar/24 6/5(2) 3/2eq: -0.368
Player:
Opponent:		40.03% (G:13.46% B:0.16%)
59.97% (G:12.05% B:0.65%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (-0.378...-0.359) - [100.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 15 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24 8/7 6/4* eq: -0.425 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		37.52% (G:14.78% B:0.20%)
62.48% (G:16.35% B:1.25%)		Conf.: กำ 0.011 (-0.436...-0.414) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 36 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/24 6/5(3)eq: -0.440 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		38.52% (G:11.93% B:0.21%)
61.48% (G:12.26% B:0.57%)		Conf.: กำ 0.011 (-0.450...-0.429) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 08 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/24 6/4* 4/3eq: -0.459 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		38.29% (G:12.60% B:0.23%)
61.71% (G:15.49% B:0.68%)		Conf.: กำ 0.013 (-0.472...-0.446) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 03 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65876923
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 124
7 point match
pip: 112
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-C-Ba-E-C---ca-a--bc--bbAA:0:0:1:11:0:1:0:7:10

Variant 2
Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 3/1


1.Rollout1Bar/24 6/4* 4/3eq: -0.597
Player:
Opponent:		34.67% (G:11.54% B:0.24%)
65.33% (G:16.72% B:0.84%)		Conf.: กำ 0.012 (-0.609...-0.585) - [100.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 02 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24 8/7 6/4* eq: -0.652 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		32.87% (G:13.77% B:0.46%)
67.13% (G:19.70% B:1.46%)		Conf.: กำ 0.018 (-0.670...-0.634) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 19 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/24 6/5(3)eq: -0.686 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		32.09% (G:9.40% B:0.32%)
67.91% (G:14.94% B:0.61%)		Conf.: กำ 0.014 (-0.700...-0.672) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 44 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65876923
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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