
BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 1 January 2016, at 8:26 a.m.
In Response To: Rollout (KenB)
White is Player 1
score: 1
pip: 1247 point match pip: 114
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=aaBBCBAACceAcb:0:0:1:11:1:0:0:7:10 Original Position
1. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 8/7 6/4* eq: 0.4451
Player:
Opponent:36.16% (G:16.13% B:0.36%)
63.84% (G:17.93% B:1.41%)Conf.: �0.0102 (0.4554...0.4349)  [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 34 seconds2. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/4* 3/2 eq: 0.5059 (0.0607)
Player:
Opponent:34.50% (G:15.06% B:0.47%)
65.50% (G:18.89% B:1.68%)Conf.: �0.0220 (0.5279...0.4839)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 43 seconds3. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/5(2) 3/2 eq: 0.5295 (0.0844)
Player:
Opponent:35.86% (G:12.57% B:0.23%)
64.14% (G:13.75% B:0.64%)Conf.: �0.0104 (0.5400...0.5191)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds4. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/4* 4/3 eq: 0.5434 (0.0982)
Player:
Opponent:35.80% (G:12.61% B:0.31%)
64.20% (G:16.39% B:0.75%)Conf.: �0.0109 (0.5543...0.5325)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 15 seconds5. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/5(3) eq: 0.5959 (0.1508)
Player:
Opponent:34.09% (G:10.52% B:0.24%)
65.91% (G:13.81% B:0.62%)Conf.: �0.0096 (0.6055...0.5863)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 02 seconds6. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/5 6/4* eq: 0.6602 (0.2151)
Player:
Opponent:32.55% (G:14.41% B:0.52%)
67.45% (G:20.16% B:1.92%)Conf.: �0.0206 (0.6809...0.6396)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollerKen's rollout of the original position is above.
Below are two variants (rolled out before seeing Ken's variants) that contrast with the original position and with each other.
Nack
White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 1277 point match pip: 114
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=BCaECdabcbbAA:0:0:1:11:0:1:0:7:10 Variant 1
Compared to the original, White is adjusted by 10/13
1. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/5(2) 3/2 eq: 0.368
Player:
Opponent:40.03% (G:13.46% B:0.16%)
59.97% (G:12.05% B:0.65%)Conf.: กำ 0.009 (0.378...0.359)  [100.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 15 seconds2. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 8/7 6/4* eq: 0.425 (0.057)
Player:
Opponent:37.52% (G:14.78% B:0.20%)
62.48% (G:16.35% B:1.25%)Conf.: กำ 0.011 (0.436...0.414)  [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 36 seconds3. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/5(3) eq: 0.440 (0.071)
Player:
Opponent:38.52% (G:11.93% B:0.21%)
61.48% (G:12.26% B:0.57%)Conf.: กำ 0.011 (0.450...0.429)  [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 08 seconds4. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/4* 4/3 eq: 0.459 (0.091)
Player:
Opponent:38.29% (G:12.60% B:0.23%)
61.71% (G:15.49% B:0.68%)Conf.: กำ 0.013 (0.472...0.446)  [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 03 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65876923
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 1247 point match pip: 112
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=CBaECcaabcbbAA:0:0:1:11:0:1:0:7:10 Variant 2
Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 3/1
1. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/4* 4/3 eq: 0.597
Player:
Opponent:34.67% (G:11.54% B:0.24%)
65.33% (G:16.72% B:0.84%)Conf.: กำ 0.012 (0.609...0.585)  [100.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 02 seconds2. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 8/7 6/4* eq: 0.652 (0.054)
Player:
Opponent:32.87% (G:13.77% B:0.46%)
67.13% (G:19.70% B:1.46%)Conf.: กำ 0.018 (0.670...0.634)  [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 19 seconds3. Rollout^{1} Bar/24 6/5(3) eq: 0.686 (0.088)
Player:
Opponent:32.09% (G:9.40% B:0.32%)
67.91% (G:14.94% B:0.61%)Conf.: กำ 0.014 (0.700...0.672)  [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 44 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65876923
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.