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RO and questions

Posted By: Martin
Date: Tuesday, 31 May 2016, at 8:20 p.m.

In Response To: Race Cube @3a4a (Martin)

As Neil's RO has shown, this is a borderline ND in moneygame. As you can see from the RO below, it is ND/T at this score. I don't understand this. From a very useful table from Dmitriy Obukhov http://www.bgonline.org/forums/webbbs_config.pl?noframes;read=167660 I have learned that opp's TP is 24.0%, which is about 2.4% higher than in moneygame. XG tells me that my doubling point is lower than in moneygame (77,44% for live cube rather than 80% in moneygame, and 44.58% for dead cube rather than 50% in moneygame).

To sum it up: My doubling point is LOWER than in moneygame, opp's TP is HIGHER than in moneygame, and still I should not double when I have a borderline moneygame double. Could someone enlighten me, please!

	is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 112 5 point match pip: 104 score: 2 is Player 1
XGID=-AA--BCAE---bB-c-c-d-a-b--:0:0:1:00:2:1:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	71,69% (G:0,02% B:0,00%)	71,68% (G:0,01% B:0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	28,31% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)	28,32% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,434	+1,337
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,722	±0,004 (+0,718..+0,727)
Double/Take:	+0,691 (-0,032)	±0,005 (+0,685..+0,696)
Double/Pass:	+1,000 (+0,278)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9,3%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 29492813 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100,0%
Take Decision confidence:		100,0%
Duration: 9 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Race Cube @3a4a
  Martin -- Monday, 30 May 2016, at 6:34 a.m.
  • Race Cube @3a4a
    HOMINID -- Monday, 30 May 2016, at 4:28 p.m.
    • Race Cube @3a4a
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 31 May 2016, at 12:11 a.m.
  • Race Cube @3a4a
    Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 30 May 2016, at 5:19 p.m.
  • Race Cube @3a4a
    Marcel Jochem -- Monday, 30 May 2016, at 5:44 p.m.
    • Race Cube @3a4a
      Marcel Jochem -- Monday, 30 May 2016, at 9:43 p.m.
  • Long money RO
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 31 May 2016, at 12:03 a.m.
  • Race Cube @3a4a
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 31 May 2016, at 12:16 a.m.
  • RO and questions
    Martin -- Tuesday, 31 May 2016, at 8:20 p.m.
    • RO and questions
      Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 31 May 2016, at 8:50 p.m.
      • RO and questions
        Martin -- Tuesday, 31 May 2016, at 9:08 p.m.
        • RO and questions
          Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 1:55 a.m.
    • RO and questions
      Keene -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 2:54 a.m.
      • RO and questions
        Martin -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 8:43 a.m.
    • RO and questions
      Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 7:54 a.m.
      • RO and questions
        Martin -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 8:48 a.m.
        • RO and questions
          Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 12:35 p.m.
        • My list and tons of rollouts
          Klaus Evers -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 3:30 p.m.
          • My list and tons of rollouts
            Martin -- Thursday, 2 June 2016, at 4:10 p.m.
            • My list and tons of rollouts
              Marcel Jochem -- Thursday, 2 June 2016, at 4:53 p.m.
      • Correction and XG mysteries
        Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 1:54 p.m.
        • Correction and XG mysteries
          Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 8:56 p.m.
        • Correction and XG mysteries
          Chris Yep -- Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 10:16 p.m.
          • Correction and XG mysteries
            Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 2 June 2016, at 6:07 a.m.