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Rollout - 4 ply huge

Posted By: KenB
Date: Thursday, 22 September 2016, at 4:00 a.m.

In Response To: Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum (neilkaz)

Not a big difference.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 151 17 point match pip: 55 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bbDDCB----------aacbbb---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:17:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	55.185% (G:33.087% B:9.310%)	54.408% (G:32.517% B:9.395%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	44.815% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)	45.592% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5391	+1.0543
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.6349	±0.0051 (+0.6298..+0.6400)
Double/Take:	+0.6007 (-0.0342)	±0.0071 (+0.5936..+0.6079)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.3651)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.9%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply Search interval: Huge
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 06 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
  Chris Bray -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 8:52 a.m.
  • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
    Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 11:12 a.m.
    • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
      Chris Bray -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 5:37 p.m.
      • Equity of that situation
        Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 6:17 p.m.
      • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
        Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 6:46 p.m.
      • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
        Florin Popa -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 10:56 p.m.
        • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
          Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 7:42 a.m.
          • Size of the errors
            Florin Popa -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 9:56 a.m.
            • Size of the errors
              Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 10:08 a.m.
            • Size of the errors
              Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 10:42 a.m.
              • Size of the errors
                Florin Popa -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 12:30 p.m.
              • Effective error rate
                Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 1:18 p.m.
              • Effective errors and marginal doubles
                Florin Popa -- Friday, 23 September 2016, at 2:08 p.m.
                • Effective errors and marginal doubles
                  Bob Koca -- Friday, 23 September 2016, at 5:29 p.m.
                  • Effective errors and marginal doubles
                    Florin Popa -- Sunday, 25 September 2016, at 1:41 a.m.
  • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
    neilkaz -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 6:49 p.m.
    • Rollout - 4 ply huge
      KenB -- Thursday, 22 September 2016, at 4:00 a.m.