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Why does XG get the simplest basics wrong?

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Tuesday, 27 June 2017, at 11:16 a.m.

And why wouldn't you assume that there are likely to be fundamental errors in all sorts of other positions, putting its results in doubt?





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 9
9 point match
pip: 113
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=------ECEA---A--------abb-:1:1:1:61:0:1:0:9:10
Blue to play 61
1.XG Roller++13/6eq: -2.076
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.50% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++9/2eq: -2.079 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.75% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 6/5eq: -2.079 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.82% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 6/5eq: -2.079 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.83% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 7/6eq: -2.080 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.93% B:0.00%)
6.XG Roller++13/12 7/1eq: -2.081 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.95% B:0.00%)
7.XG Roller++8/7 8/2eq: -2.081 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.95% B:0.00%)
8.XG Roller++7/6 7/1eq: -2.081 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.96% B:0.00%)
9.XG Roller++13/12 8/2eq: -2.081 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.97% B:0.00%)
10.XG Roller++8/2 7/6eq: -2.081 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
11.XG Roller++9/3 8/7eq: -2.082 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
12.XG Roller++13/12 9/3eq: -2.082 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
13.XG Roller++9/8 7/1eq: -2.083 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
14.XG Roller++7/1 6/5eq: -2.084 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
15.XG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: -2.085 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
16.XG Roller++13/7 9/8eq: -2.085 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
17.XG Roller++8/2 6/5eq: -2.085 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
18.XG Roller++8/1eq: -2.088 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 9
9 point match
pip: 113
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=------ECEA---A--------abb-:1:1:1:61:0:1:0:9:10
Blue to play 61
1.Rollout18/7 8/2eq: -2.079
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.81% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.080...-2.078) - [49.7%]
Duration: 7.8 seconds
2.Rollout19/3 8/7eq: -2.079 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.83% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.081...-2.078) - [34.2%]
Duration: 8.5 seconds
3.Rollout18/1eq: -2.080 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.85% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.080...-2.079) - [11.7%]
Duration: 8.0 seconds
4.Rollout19/2eq: -2.080 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.90% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.080...-2.080) - [0.1%]
Duration: 5.8 seconds
5.Rollout18/2 6/5eq: -2.080 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.90% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.081...-2.079) - [4.3%]
Duration: 6.0 seconds
6.Rollout17/1 6/5eq: -2.080 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.91% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.080...-2.080) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.9 seconds
7.Rollout19/3 6/5eq: -2.080 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.91% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.080...-2.080) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7.7 seconds
8.Rollout19/8 7/1eq: -2.080 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.93% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.080) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.5 seconds
9.Rollout113/12 8/2eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.97% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.7 seconds
10.Rollout113/12 7/1eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7.1 seconds
11.Rollout17/6 7/1eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8.2 seconds
12.Rollout18/2 7/6eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7.6 seconds
13.Rollout19/3 7/6eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7.4 seconds
14.Rollout113/12 9/3eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9.4 seconds
15.Rollout113/6eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5.0 seconds
16.Rollout113/7 6/5eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.3 seconds
17.Rollout113/7 8/7eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5.5 seconds
18.Rollout113/7 9/8eq: -2.081 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.000 (-2.081...-2.081) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4.8 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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