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DQ: bold vs safe early game ***RollOut*** and Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 26 July 2017, at 10:38 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: bold vs safe early game ***RollOut*** (leobueno)

		White is WBFTRasorg score: 0 pip: 141 7 point match pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is leobueno
XGID=---a--E-D---dD---bceAA----:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:7:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3*	eq: -0.458
	Player: Opponent: 39.11% (G:8.67% B:0.22%) 60.89% (G:15.77% B:0.88%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.478...-0.438) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds
2.	Rollout2	8/3* 3/1	eq: -0.506 (-0.048)
	Player: Opponent: 37.38% (G:7.15% B:0.25%) 62.62% (G:14.35% B:0.67%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.521...-0.490) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds
3.	Rollout3	8/6 8/3*	eq: -0.513 (-0.055)
	Player: Opponent: 36.91% (G:7.19% B:0.30%) 63.09% (G:14.68% B:0.73%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.530...-0.496) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds
4.	Rollout1	20/15 13/11	eq: -0.523 (-0.065)
	Player: Opponent: 37.53% (G:6.10% B:0.43%) 62.47% (G:16.09% B:0.73%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.538...-0.508) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 13 seconds
5.	Rollout1	20/13	eq: -0.543 (-0.085)
	Player: Opponent: 36.30% (G:4.71% B:0.29%) 63.70% (G:12.97% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.559...-0.527) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 12 seconds
6.	Rollout3	8/3* 6/4	eq: -0.544 (-0.085)
	Player: Opponent: 37.35% (G:7.89% B:0.26%) 62.65% (G:17.99% B:1.10%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.561...-0.526) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds
7.	Rollout2	20/15 8/6	eq: -0.576 (-0.118)
	Player: Opponent: 36.13% (G:5.54% B:0.20%) 63.87% (G:15.90% B:0.44%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.592...-0.561) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 09 seconds
8.	XG Roller+	13/6	eq: -0.569 (-0.111)
	Player: Opponent: 35.25% (G:5.86% B:0.18%) 64.75% (G:14.62% B:0.48%)
1 671 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89202481 First 1 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply 2 672 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89202481 First 1 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply 3 670 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89202481 First 1 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

The original position, rolled out by leobueno, is copied above.

A (shouldn't-hit) variant appears below.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142 7 point match pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a---E-D---dD---bceAA----:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:7:10
Variant 1 (White's blot is on 23pt instead of 22pt, roll is 62)

1.	Rollout1	21/13	eq: -0.423
	Player: Opponent: 39.64% (G:5.59% B:0.27%) 60.36% (G:13.51% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.429...-0.418) - [95.5%] Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/11 8/2*	eq: -0.431 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 39.50% (G:8.65% B:0.32%) 60.50% (G:15.76% B:1.01%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.438...-0.424) - [4.5%] Duration: 1 hour 21 minutes
3.	Rollout2	20/14 13/11	eq: -0.453 (-0.030)
	Player: Opponent: 39.23% (G:6.78% B:0.30%) 60.77% (G:16.10% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.466...-0.441) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 58 seconds
4.	Rollout2	21/15 13/11	eq: -0.479 (-0.055)
	Player: Opponent: 39.19% (G:7.94% B:0.41%) 60.81% (G:18.42% B:0.75%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.492...-0.466) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 35 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 35470494 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 35470494 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• DQ: bold vs safe early game
  leobueno -- Wednesday, 19 July 2017, at 3:01 p.m.
  • DQ: bold vs safe early game
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 July 2017, at 6:30 p.m.
  • DQ: bold vs safe early game
    Michael -- Wednesday, 19 July 2017, at 9:48 p.m.
  • DQ: bold vs safe early game
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 19 July 2017, at 10:11 p.m.
  • DQ: bold vs safe early game
    ah_clem -- Friday, 21 July 2017, at 3:12 p.m.
  • DQ: bold vs safe early game ***RollOut***
    leobueno -- Wednesday, 26 July 2017, at 3:51 p.m.
    • DQ: bold vs safe early game ***RollOut*** and Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 26 July 2017, at 10:38 p.m.