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Holding Game Cube - ++ + Variant

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 20 November 2017, at 11:14 a.m.

In Response To: Holding Game Cube (Stick)

I couldn't decide at the time of my original posting which problem would be easier/tougher. Apparently I chose wrong. In the variant all I've done is take the spare on the 4pt and put it back on the 6pt. People mentioned our spares but I don't know if everyone realized how important that one spare is.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 107
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--CbDCC---bB----abbbba--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.54% (G:9.38% B:0.15%) 77.05% (G:9.37% B:0.13%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.46% (G:2.76% B:0.07%) 22.95% (G:2.82% B:0.07%)
Cubeless Equities +0.598 +1.214
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.940 (-0.060)±0.005 (+0.934..+0.945)
Double/Take:+1.083 (+0.083)±0.011 (+1.072..+1.095)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67502200
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 25 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 109
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BbECC---bB----abbbba--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.46% (G:9.32% B:0.21%) 72.75% (G:9.45% B:0.20%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.54% (G:4.49% B:0.09%) 27.25% (G:4.50% B:0.09%)
Cubeless Equities +0.499 +1.011
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.816 (-0.017)±0.012 (+0.804..+0.828)
Double/Take:+0.833±0.018 (+0.815..+0.851)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.167)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67502200
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:94.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 08 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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