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Re: Answers - Quick N Dirty rollout of #8

Posted By: Barry Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 14 March 2007, at 1:04 p.m.

In Response To: Answers (Stick)

I didn't think 21/16 on #8 looked right being > 20 pips behind in the game... "behind in the race, don't race" ... 13/6 looks better and is better in this rollout by .043

The score (after 0 games) is: Kit 0, Readers 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 3: Readers to play 25


3X3X '2O3X2X '2X ' ' '2O

'2O2O2O2O2O1O ' ' ' '2X

Pip counts: Kit 78, Readers 115
Position ID: d9wMBgC2bYEBBg Match ID: cAk1AAAAAAAA

• Readers moves 13/6

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 13/6 -0.375
0.3130.0660.002-0.6870.0550.000 -0.375
0.0340.0250.001-0.0340.0400.001 0.068
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
2 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1021163136 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
2 R 21/14 -0.418 ( -0.043)
0.2910.0660.002-0.7090.1420.002 -0.418
0.0290.0110.001-0.0290.0990.002 0.057
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
2 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1021163136 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
3 2 13/8 7/5 -0.322 ( +0.053)
0.339 0.046 0.000 - 0.661 0.068 0.001
4 2 21/16 7/5 -0.322 ( +0.052)
0.339 0.059 0.001 - 0.661 0.133 0.002
5 2 13/11 7/2 -0.328 ( +0.047)
0.336 0.046 0.000 - 0.664 0.074 0.001

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