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My 51 play

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 11 May 2009, at 8:11 p.m.

In Response To: Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 + (Stick)

I agree that I should've double hit. OTB I wasn't completely sure, but the score should've convinced me. I'll do an overnight rollout since I don't think my play is as bad as your shortie shows.

The score (after 2 games) is: Neil 0, Stick 3 (match to 5 points)

Move number 6: Neil to play 15

Neil	161
Stick	167
Position ID: yDPyYCDgc+EBJA Match ID: MIG0AAAAGAAA

• Neil moves 22/21* 13/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.0190	(Money: +0.1335)
	0.5350 0.1730 0.0067 - 0.4650 0.1130 0.0034
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.3311
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.6689
3.	Double, take	+0.2683	-0.0628
Proper cube action:		No double, take (8.6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	4	22/21* 13/8	+0.4568
			0.5543 0.1890 0.0101 - 0.4457 0.1029 0.0033
	2	4	22/21* 6/1*	+0.4561 ( -0.0008)
			0.5507 0.1920 0.0080 - 0.4493 0.1095 0.0037
	3	2	22/21*/16	+0.3675 ( -0.0893)
			0.5496 0.1671 0.0085 - 0.4504 0.1095 0.0034
	4	2	22/21* 9/4	+0.3176 ( -0.1392)
			0.5357 0.1609 0.0071 - 0.4643 0.1081 0.0035
	5	2	22/21* 8/3	+0.2682 ( -0.1886)
			0.5195 0.1653 0.0085 - 0.4805 0.1212 0.0052
	6	0	9/8 6/1*	+0.1031 ( -0.3538)
			0.4921 0.1379 0.0047 - 0.5079 0.1307 0.0043
	7	0	24/23 6/1*	+0.0694 ( -0.3874)
			0.4829 0.1378 0.0053 - 0.5171 0.1427 0.0061
	8	0	13/8 9/8	+0.0644 ( -0.3924)
			0.4854 0.1295 0.0041 - 0.5146 0.1334 0.0036

Messages In This Thread

• Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
  Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:54 a.m.
  • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 4:06 p.m.
    • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
      Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 8:32 p.m.
      • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
        John O'Hagan -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:37 p.m.
  • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
    John Little -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 5:33 p.m.
    • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
      neilkaz -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 6:26 p.m.
    • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
      Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 8:38 p.m.
      • re move 27...
        neilkaz -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:12 p.m.
      • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
        John Little -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:27 p.m.
  • My 51 play
    neilkaz -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 8:11 p.m.
    • My 51 play..rollout continues and proving 324 games is often too short to get a good result
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:09 p.m.
      • My 51 play..rollout continues and proving 324 games is often too short to get a good result
        Stick -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:28 p.m.
        • My 51 play..rollout continues and proving 324 games is often too short to get a good result
          neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:35 p.m.
      • Rollout
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 7:13 p.m.