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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 7:13 p.m.

In Response To: My 51 play..rollout continues and proving 324 games is often too short to get a good result (neilkaz)

The score (after 2 games) is: Neil 0, Stick 3 (match to 5 points)

Move number 6: Neil to play 15

Neil	161
Stick	167
Position ID: yDPyYCDgc+EBJA Match ID: MIG0AAAAGAAA

• Neil moves 22/21* 13/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.0190	(Money: +0.1335)
	0.5350 0.1730 0.0067 - 0.4650 0.1130 0.0034
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.3311
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.6689
3.	Double, take	+0.2683	-0.0628
Proper cube action:		No double, take (8.6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	22/21* 6/1*	+0.3566
			0.5355 0.1746 0.0061 - 0.4645 0.1403 0.0216 +0.2023 +0.3566 0.0022 0.0018 0.0005 - 0.0022 0.0041 0.0027 0.0071 0.0119
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2194 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858150079 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	22/21* 13/8	+0.3222 ( -0.0344)
			0.5316 0.1651 0.0066 - 0.4684 0.1343 0.0181 +0.1680 +0.3222 0.0018 0.0018 0.0007 - 0.0018 0.0039 0.0019 0.0060 0.0102
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2194 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858150079 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	22/21*/16	+0.3146 ( -0.0420)
			0.5383 0.1530 0.0035 - 0.4617 0.1305 0.0222 +0.1487 +0.3146 0.0033 0.0036 0.0071 - 0.0033 0.0057 0.0045 0.0104 0.0184
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			793 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858150079 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	22/21* 9/4	+0.3176 ( -0.0390)
			0.5357 0.1609 0.0071 - 0.4643 0.1081 0.0035
	5	2	22/21* 8/3	+0.2682 ( -0.0884)
			0.5195 0.1653 0.0085 - 0.4805 0.1212 0.0052
	6	0	9/8 6/1*	+0.1031 ( -0.2535)
			0.4921 0.1379 0.0047 - 0.5079 0.1307 0.0043
	7	0	24/23 6/1*	+0.0694 ( -0.2872)
			0.4829 0.1378 0.0053 - 0.5171 0.1427 0.0061
	8	0	13/8 9/8	+0.0644 ( -0.2922)
			0.4854 0.1295 0.0041 - 0.5146 0.1334 0.0036

Messages In This Thread

• Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
  Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:54 a.m.
  • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 4:06 p.m.
    • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
      Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 8:32 p.m.
      • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
        John O'Hagan -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:37 p.m.
  • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
    John Little -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 5:33 p.m.
    • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
      neilkaz -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 6:26 p.m.
    • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
      Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 8:38 p.m.
      • re move 27...
        neilkaz -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:12 p.m.
      • Atlanta LC Match w/Neil - Game 3 +
        John Little -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:27 p.m.
  • My 51 play
    neilkaz -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 8:11 p.m.
    • My 51 play..rollout continues and proving 324 games is often too short to get a good result
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:09 p.m.
      • My 51 play..rollout continues and proving 324 games is often too short to get a good result
        Stick -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:28 p.m.
        • My 51 play..rollout continues and proving 324 games is often too short to get a good result
          neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:35 p.m.
      • Rollout
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 7:13 p.m.