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more bot info...rollout

Posted By: happyjuggler0
Date: Saturday, 16 May 2009, at 4:58 p.m.

In Response To: I Thought This so Straightforward ..... (neilkaz)

I would've made the 1pt at a normal score. Maybe that would be correct, or not, I don't know.

But at DMP I also didn't think this was a "next!", and I suspect it would've taken me a long time OTB to make up my mind which play to make, especially since it is the end of a 9pt match, and probably my last real decision of the match.

Anyway, here are the bot numbers of the top three plays, with the third included for perspective on the equity difference between number one and number two.

I include not just the rollout, but also the 2ply and 4ply evaluation numbers.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: gnubg to play 23

gnubg39


1O2X3X4X2X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O2O2O1O '1O ' ' '

blue82

Position ID: 27YlACB2bwAAAA Match ID: MAEtAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 5/3 5/2 +0.962
0.9810.3900.034-0.0190.0000.000 +0.962 +0.962
0.0000.0120.004-0.0000.0000.000 0.001 0.001
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
802 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858658260 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 4/1* 3/1 +0.948 ( -0.014)
0.9740.4230.002-0.0260.0000.000 +0.948 +0.948
0.0000.0150.001-0.0000.0000.000 0.001 0.001
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
801 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858658260 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 4/2 3/off +0.827 ( -0.135)
0.9140.3720.028-0.0860.0000.000 +0.827 +0.827
0.0010.0140.003-0.0010.0000.000 0.002 0.002
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
750 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858658260 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: gnubg to play 23

gnubg39


1O2X3X4X2X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O2O2O1O '1O ' ' '

blue82

Position ID: 27YlACB2bwAAAA Match ID: MAEtAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 4/1* 3/1 +0.943
0.971 0.117 0.000 - 0.029 0.000 0.000
2 2 5/3 5/2 +0.935 ( -0.008)
0.967 0.062 0.001 - 0.033 0.000 0.000
3 2 4/2 3/off +0.821 ( -0.122)
0.911 0.072 0.002 - 0.089 0.000 0.000

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: gnubg to play 23

gnubg39


1O2X3X4X2X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O2O2O1O '1O ' ' '

blue82

Position ID: 27YlACB2bwAAAA Match ID: MAEtAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 4 5/3 5/2 +0.952
0.976 0.096 0.003 - 0.024 0.000 0.000
2 4 4/1* 3/1 +0.942 ( -0.010)
0.971 0.102 0.000 - 0.029 0.000 0.000
3 4 4/2 3/off +0.820 ( -0.132)
0.910 0.100 0.004 - 0.090 0.000 0.000

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