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41$-44, data

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 26 December 2009, at 5:36 p.m.

In Response To: 41$-44, data (Nack Ballard)

Nack Ballard wrote:

The reason is that my opponent cannot misplay the checkers when he is fanning.

I've thought about this and I wonder if the reasoning is really sound. Your assertion here is of course correct, but what matters is how erroneous your opponent's play will be overall, not just on the next roll. It's my anecdotal impression that average players tend to make more mistakes when they are significantly behind in the pip count. When you're behind in the pip count, you generally have to make lots of tricky decisions (safe-vs-bold, running off an anchor or not, assessing your timing, taking or passing tough cubes, etc.). Other things being equal, I would be inclined to pick the play that increases my opponent's chances of fanning. Fanning is also more likely to make people frustrated or steamed.

Do you not find this to be the case?

Messages In This Thread

• 41$44 for money is in the XG 4 ply oven
  neilkaz -- Thursday, 24 December 2009, at 4:09 a.m.
  • 41$44 for money is in the XG 4 ply oven
    David Rockwell -- Thursday, 24 December 2009, at 5:19 a.m.
    • 41$44 for money is in the XG 4 ply oven
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 24 December 2009, at 1:13 p.m.
      • No, I don't make sense
        David Rockwell -- Thursday, 24 December 2009, at 2:56 p.m.
      • 41$44 for money is in the XG 4 ply oven
        Bob Koca -- Thursday, 24 December 2009, at 11:22 p.m.
        • 41$-44, data
          Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 24 December 2009, at 11:58 p.m.
          • 41$-44, data
            Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 25 December 2009, at 3:33 a.m.
            • 41$-44, data
              Nack Ballard -- Friday, 25 December 2009, at 9:00 a.m.
              • 41$-44, data
                neilkaz -- Friday, 25 December 2009, at 5:11 p.m.
                • 41$-44, data
                  Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 25 December 2009, at 7:18 p.m.
                • 41$-44, data..more will take a couple days
                  neilkaz -- Saturday, 26 December 2009, at 12:20 a.m.
              • 41$-44, data
                Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 26 December 2009, at 5:36 p.m.
                • 41$-44, data
                  Rich Munitz -- Saturday, 26 December 2009, at 5:58 p.m.
                  • 41$-44, data
                    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 6:20 a.m.
                • 41$-44, data
                  Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 6:21 a.m.
          • 41$-44, data
            neilkaz -- Friday, 25 December 2009, at 5:02 a.m.
  • After 5k (5184 games rolled out)
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 24 December 2009, at 9:24 p.m.