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Rollout -3 -7

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 22 January 2010, at 11:38 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout -3 -7 (Timothy Chow)

If you look at both rollouts there's still enough variance that maybe the error between pointing and running is the same size at both -3 -7 and -3 -9. All we've done here is grinded down the variance to know which play is best, not exactly how much it is best by.

Anyway, my statement came from a what I know standpoint. I'm telling you what I'd play and where I'd stick my money if someone wanted to make a bet on it. The position made sense to me when I saw it so I feel confident drawing conclusions.

Stick

Messages In This Thread

• LA Conso 55
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 21 January 2010, at 2:03 p.m.
  • QF Part Deux
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 21 January 2010, at 2:18 p.m.
    • QF Part Deux
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 21 January 2010, at 4:40 p.m.
      • QF Part Deux
        Stick -- Thursday, 21 January 2010, at 5:00 p.m.
        • QF Part Deux
          Timothy Chow -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 12:16 a.m.
    • 51$-44B-62R-55
      Nack Ballard -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 8:04 a.m.
      • 51$-44B-62R-55
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 2:48 p.m.
    • Bot content ("View statistics")
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 5:14 p.m.
  • LA Conso 55
    David -- Thursday, 21 January 2010, at 3:48 p.m.
  • LA Conso 55
    neilkaz -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 2:43 a.m.
  • QF Part Trois
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 2:46 p.m.
  • Rollout -3 -7
    Stick -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 4:59 p.m.
    • Rollout -3 -7
      Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 5:11 p.m.
      • Rollout -3 -7
        Stick -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 5:19 p.m.
    • Rollout -3 -7
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 10:35 p.m.
      • Rollout -3 -7
        Stick -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 11:38 p.m.
        • Rollout -3 -7
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 23 January 2010, at 9:41 a.m.
          • Rollout -3 -7
            Stick -- Saturday, 23 January 2010, at 11:26 a.m.
            • Rollout -3 -7
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 23 January 2010, at 12:47 p.m.
              • Rollout -3 -7
                Stick -- Saturday, 23 January 2010, at 1:46 p.m.
          • Rollout -3 -7
            Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 23 January 2010, at 9:22 p.m.
            • Rollout -3 -7
              Philippe Michel -- Saturday, 23 January 2010, at 11:28 p.m.
              • Rollout -3 -7
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 24 January 2010, at 10:54 a.m.
                • Rollout -3 -7
                  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 24 January 2010, at 1:19 p.m.
  • Rollout -3 -7 #2
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 9:18 p.m.
  • Rollout -3 -9
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 9:21 p.m.
  • OTB & results
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 9:25 p.m.