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OLM Fr 11/04/11

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 6 November 2011, at 12:09 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Fr 11/04/11 (Jason Lee)

Now this is interesting. I see three candidates:
  1. 8/7*/5, 6/5
  2. 8/7*(2), 6/5(2)
  3. 8/7*(3), 10/9
Let's begin by rejecting anything that does not make the 5pt. Then the question is simple. Should we leave two fly shots or just one?

I sure do like the idea of blocking sixes from the 1pt. But just last turn, we eshewed making the 4pt due to "gammon-save-like" considerations. Why should those considerations not apply here?

One big difference is risk. The two fly shots total to only 8 numbers (5 unblocked ways to roll 8, and 3 ways to roll 10). Compare this with the 3 shots that hit on the 10pt when we leave the 8pt made.

If we do not leave the 8 shots now, White will surely split his rear checkers next time. Then it will be impossible to leave any blot outside that is any safer. I say go for the gusto.

My vote: 8/7*(2), 6/5(2)

Mike

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