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31P-64R-62O-21V-63R-31 rollout: 4-way dead heat!

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 10 January 2012, at 1:52 a.m.

In Response To: 31P-64R-62O-21V-63R-31 (Nack Ballard)

I've never seen this before: the top four plays, which are diverse in type, are all within .000 of each other. Has anyone else? (I'm not interested in bearoff or prime/containment blot/spare irrelevancies or tricks like all four equities being -1.000 because the cube isn't takeable, etc.)

    [@=P=x=H] "<=25

Below are the detailed rollout results. (The data is legitimate.)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 165
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C-a-dE---b-dc-A-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
31P-64R-62O-21V-63R-31

1.Rollout124/21 22/21eq: -0.425
Player:
Opponent:
38.33% (G:6.30% B:0.19%)
61.67% (G:9.53% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.428...-0.422) - [25.6%]
Duration: 15 hours 51 minutes
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.425 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
40.21% (G:9.47% B:0.38%)
59.79% (G:18.36% B:0.71%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.429...-0.422) - [27.8%]
Duration: 13 hours 40 minutes
3.Rollout124/23 13/10* eq: -0.425 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
40.65% (G:9.92% B:0.46%)
59.35% (G:20.32% B:0.97%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.429...-0.422) - [25.1%]
Duration: 14 hours 51 minutes
4.Rollout113/10* 10/9eq: -0.426 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
40.63% (G:10.33% B:0.47%)
59.37% (G:20.15% B:1.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.429...-0.422) - [21.5%]
Duration: 14 hours 41 minutes
1 25992 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 88927773
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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