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Rollout Result Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Tuesday, 31 January 2012, at 3:02 a.m.

In Response To: Playing a Tricky 22 at Gammon Go, 4pt or 20pt? (Paul Weaver)





White is peever

score: 7
pip: 140
9 point match
pip: 150
score: 5

Blue is shimohei
XGID=-b----EBCA--dC---b-cb-b-A-:0:0:-1:22:7:5:0:9:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout124/22 13/11 3/1*(2) eq: +0.666
Player:
Opponent:		53.13% (G:22.97% B:0.63%)
46.87% (G:12.73% B:1.39%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.659...+0.674) - [100.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 00 second
2.Rollout124/20(2)eq: +0.640 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		56.14% (G:15.27% B:0.52%)
43.86% (G:7.43% B:0.51%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.633...+0.646) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 24 seconds
3.Rollout224/22(2) 3/1*(2) eq: +0.622 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		52.66% (G:21.28% B:0.57%)
47.34% (G:10.34% B:1.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.609...+0.635) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 28 seconds
4.Rollout224/22 8/4 6/4eq: +0.603 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		53.14% (G:18.24% B:1.20%)
46.86% (G:14.09% B:1.07%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.588...+0.618) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 15 seconds
5.Rollout224/20 3/1*(2) eq: +0.598 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		52.67% (G:20.81% B:0.35%)
47.33% (G:11.33% B:0.91%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.585...+0.611) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 17 seconds
6.Rollout213/11 8/4 6/4eq: +0.597 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		52.40% (G:19.45% B:1.03%)
47.60% (G:13.45% B:1.90%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.581...+0.612) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 24 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is peever

score: 0
pip: 140
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is shimohei
XGID=-a-B-BC-B---cD--acbe----B-:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout124/20(2)eq: +0.328
Player:
Opponent:		57.12% (G:13.35% B:0.30%)
42.88% (G:5.14% B:0.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.316...+0.340) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 13/11 3/1*(2) eq: +0.239 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		53.14% (G:22.96% B:0.40%)
46.86% (G:11.16% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.226...+0.253) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 37 seconds
3.Rollout124/22 8/4 6/4eq: +0.154 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		53.52% (G:17.30% B:0.52%)
46.48% (G:12.10% B:0.51%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.139...+0.169) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
White is peever

score: 7
pip: 140
9 point match
pip: 150
score: 5

Blue is shimohei
XGID=-a-B-BC-B---cD--acbe----B-:0:0:1:00:5:7:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 51.55% (G:18.30% B:0.78%) 51.85% (G:18.94% B:0.80%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48.45% (G:13.83% B:1.75%) 48.15% (G:14.91% B:1.76%)
Cubeless Equities -0.026 +0.566
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.486 (-0.080)±0.016 (+0.471..+0.502)
Double/Take:+0.566±0.017 (+0.549..+0.584)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.434)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 44 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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