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Daily Quiz 4/5: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 14 April 2012, at 6:47 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/5 (Daily Quiz)

13/8 seems to be a more viable candidate than I expected.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 108
1 point match
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=------EbBC--bC-----cdBb-b-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 32

1.XG Roller+6/4 6/3eq: -0.158
Player:
Opponent:
42.12% (G:8.11% B:0.30%)
57.88% (G:18.76% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller+13/8eq: -0.187 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
40.66% (G:7.39% B:0.25%)
59.34% (G:17.49% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller+9/4eq: -0.198 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
40.09% (G:7.50% B:0.27%)
59.91% (G:19.69% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller+13/10 6/4eq: -0.210 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
39.48% (G:7.35% B:0.29%)
60.52% (G:23.04% B:0.58%)
5.XG Roller+8/5 6/4eq: -0.242 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:
37.90% (G:6.66% B:0.25%)
62.10% (G:24.46% B:0.70%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 118
1 point match
pip: 90
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Bab-BEBBB-------a-bcbb-b-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller+9/8 9/7eq: +0.608
Player:
Opponent:
80.42% (G:11.47% B:0.22%)
19.58% (G:0.76% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller+6/5 6/4eq: +0.502 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:
75.08% (G:15.00% B:0.43%)
24.92% (G:3.86% B:0.06%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 110
1 point match
pip: 90
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Bab-BEBBB---------bbbcab-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller+9/8 9/7eq: +0.636
Player:
Opponent:
81.78% (G:9.06% B:0.14%)
18.22% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller+6/5 6/4eq: +0.623 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
81.16% (G:18.80% B:0.67%)
18.84% (G:1.85% B:0.03%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Original position at gammon go:





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 118
4 point match
pip: 90
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Bab-BEBBB-------a-bcbb-b-:1:-1:1:21:0:2:0:4:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller+6/5 6/4eq: +0.799
Player:
Opponent:
74.46% (G:15.49% B:0.48%)
25.54% (G:4.10% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller+9/8 9/7eq: +0.793 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
80.66% (G:8.98% B:0.18%)
19.34% (G:0.94% B:0.02%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross


Only 21% wins apparently.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 133
7 point match
pip: 77
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BABbDC-bB-A-----aacbbb---:0:0:1:00:5:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 78.77% (G: 12.13% B: 0.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.23% (G: 1.66% B: 0.07%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.790
Double:+1.762
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.937 (-0.063)
Double/Take:+1.253 (+0.253)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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