Thanks to Daniel for a fine analysis. I looked at 22/13 and 13/9 13/8 here and didn't seriously consider 6/2 6/1. Eventually I played 22/13, underestimating the gammon danger.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/2 6/1 | eq: -0.672 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.72% (G:3.51% B:0.08%)
78.28% (G:21.22% B:0.88%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.681...-0.663)
Duration: 1 hour 56 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/8 | eq: -0.698 (-0.026) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 20.77% (G:2.89% B:0.10%)
79.23% (G:20.93% B:0.91%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.707...-0.689)
Duration: 2 hours 14 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/4 8/3 | eq: -0.724 (-0.053) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.95% (G:3.47% B:0.08%)
78.05% (G:26.90% B:1.29%) | Conf: ± 0.011 (-0.735...-0.713)
Duration: 2 hours 00 minute |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 22/13 | eq: -0.734 (-0.062) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 24.94% (G:6.74% B:0.32%)
75.06% (G:38.27% B:1.27%) | Conf: ± 0.012 (-0.746...-0.722)
Duration: 1 hour 50 minutes |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 13/4 | eq: -0.748 (-0.077) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 19.70% (G:2.83% B:0.08%)
80.30% (G:23.68% B:1.00%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.757...-0.739)
Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes |
|
| 6. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/1 | eq: -0.766 (-0.095) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 20.71% (G:3.17% B:0.06%)
79.29% (G:27.79% B:1.15%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (-0.776...-0.756)
Duration: 2 hours 57 minutes |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
