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Takepoint

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Saturday, 10 November 2012, at 7:28 p.m.

In Response To: Help with score based race cube. (John O'Hagan)

Not sure where you got 35% dead-cube takepoint. (Isn't Kaz-XG2 at 33%?) Anyway, this modded position shows the breakeven point (at 24% cgwc):





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 135
7 point match
pip: 123
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CCABBA-fC--a-cbc-----:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.939% (G:0.047% B:0.001%) 76.059% (G:0.042% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.061% (G:0.002% B:0.000%) 23.941% (G:0.001% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5196 +1.5531
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8592 (-0.1404)±0.0056 (+0.8535..+0.8648)
Double/Take:+0.9996±0.0100 (+0.9896..+1.0096)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0004)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 15788317
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:52.9%
Duration: 2 minutes 37 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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