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XG cube analysis -- Methodology question

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 4 December 2012, at 4:46 a.m.

In Response To: XG cube analysis -- Methodology question (joe freedman)

If you scroll down the BGO index page, you'll see that I did take a somewhat belated crack at this problem of yours.

You wrote:

Also, is it likely that white will become too good over 7% of the time?

I assume you meant is it likely that White will win a gammon over 7% of the time. Of course these are cubeless percentages and some fraction of these will actually play out as a RD/P, when Blue drops the recube because of the gammon threat. But maybe more to the point, Blue does have that ace-point blot which might not be covered and might be hit, after which White's decent board and Blue's two other blots can lead to a quick turnaround. If you can believe that White will win (cubeless) 29% of the time, then it should not be too hard to believe that almost a quarter of those wins will be gammons.

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