BGonline.org Forums

OLM 2013-03-04

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 4:35 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 2013-03-04 (Jason Lee)

What is our doubling window? I calculate about 64% < W < 77.5%.

How often do we win this cubeless? Straight Kleinman gives ~73% but that doesn't account for wastage. Opp's nearly stripped 4-point looks worse than anything we have, so we're even better than 73%.

We're about 2/3 of the way into our window. I had an old Rule-of-thumb for these kind of positions, although it wasn't rigorously determined. It said if you're deeper into your window (2/3 of the way here) than the size of your window opening point (64% < 2/3) then ship it.

Double

Messages In This Thread

• OLM 2013-03-04
  Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 1:41 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 2:14 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 2:37 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    Havard Raddum -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 7:08 a.m.
    • OLM 2013-03-04
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 3:56 p.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    Chase -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 8:32 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 11:36 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    mtuhtan -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 11:45 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 2:08 p.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    mandm1951 -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 3:49 p.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 4:35 p.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-04 ROLLOUT
    Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 6 March 2013, at 9:50 p.m.
    • OLM 2013-03-04 ROLLOUT - @ normal score
      Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 5:21 a.m.
      • OLM 2013-03-04 ROLLOUT - Sconyers equities
        Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 6:22 p.m.