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Rollout

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 27 April 2013, at 10:45 p.m.

In Response To: 33 for White (John O'Hagan)

Ran across this position in a match vs. XGR+ the other day. It was White and made the correct play of slotting the 4 and making the 3. Apparently the gain when Black fails to hit back easily outweighs the loss from being hit back. XGR++ says it should go D/P if Black fans.

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 121
5 point match
pip: 147
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=----aADCBB--a-a-bbbd-C-b--:0:0:1:33:1:1:0:5:10
to play 33

1.Rollout18/5 7/4* 6/3(2)eq: +0.058
Player:
Opponent:		48.89% (G:14.96% B:0.58%)
51.11% (G:12.31% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.042...+0.074) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 35 seconds
2.Rollout18/5(2) 7/4*(2) eq: -0.029 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		46.48% (G:15.03% B:0.57%)
53.52% (G:8.83% B:0.58%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.045...-0.014) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 08 seconds
3.Rollout18/5 7/4*(3) eq: -0.070 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		45.29% (G:14.23% B:0.58%)
54.71% (G:8.50% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.085...-0.056) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 47 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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