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21S-53P-22M-31P-31 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Saturday, 20 July 2013, at 6:36 a.m.

In Response To: Still 5 pt -- Rollout + Variants (Igor)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-C-C--BeC---a-cbAb-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.3670
Player:
Opponent:
59.26% (G:19.78% B:1.37%)
40.74% (G:13.85% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ±0.0061 (+0.3608...+0.3731) - [100.0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 29 seconds
2.Rollout121/17* eq: +0.3305 (-0.0365)
Player:
Opponent:
58.29% (G:16.73% B:1.10%)
41.71% (G:12.19% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ±0.0066 (+0.3239...+0.3370) - [0.0%]
Duration: 56 minutes 28 seconds
3.Rollout224/21 11/10eq: +0.3043 (-0.0626)
Player:
Opponent:
56.86% (G:15.81% B:0.62%)
43.14% (G:9.81% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ±0.0070 (+0.2974...+0.3113) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 38 seconds
 
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 16954706
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 16954706
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Jul-17
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
21S-53P-22M-31P-31-tm.xgp
[P H36 b63] "<=7*5
[P H20 b71 E99 B161] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

21S-53P-22M-31P-31 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply Trunc 684698282 +337.838 [P H31 b92 E148 B186] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 16954706 +367.0 [P H36 b63] "<=7*5 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR PH: 38129011, b: 21271571 +366 [P H42 b65] "<=1 Igor Erovenko
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] +362.2 [P H20 b71 E99 B161] "&e Taper_Mike

Key: B (Both) = 24/21 8/7, b (both) = 24/21 11/10, E (Each) = 24/21 6/5, H (Hit) = 21/17*, P (Point) = 8/5, 6/5

Explanation of nacbracs

The retro-sequence posted in the subject breaks down as follows (using the Table of Doublets found here). The sequence I found looks pretty good, but you always have to be aware that other sequences may also lead to this position.

Turn Blue White
1 21S (Split) = 24/23, 13/11 53P (Point) = 8/3, 6/3
2 22M (Mayfair split) = 23/21, 13/11, 6/4(2) 31P (Point) = 8/5, 6/5
3 31 ?

Mike

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