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Board-breaking 41 positions, eval and rollouts

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 10 June 2014, at 2:49 a.m.

In Response To: Board-breaking 41 positions, eval and rollouts (Timothy Chow)

It doesn't look like White will be able to hold onto her piece of the outfield very long, and Blue rates to hurdle the 11pt next turn and mark time with that checker. Most of the time that Blue hits, White will have a stripped 6pt and maybe a stripped 4pt as well, which means that Blue may gain return shot and/or containment vig from White's entrances of 42 32 22 (as opposed to hitting with a 6 and she's gone), with possible repeat vig when White is stuck behind the four-prime.

Blue's spare is more likely to cover his 6pt than his 2pt, gaining a closed board at the critical moment (which may not obvious until you study it carefully), but evidently that factor is not enough to counter the above support for 2/1.

If you move White's 2pt and 1pt spares back to her 6pt, then I'm sure Blue's 6/5 will gain on 2/1 and might well overturn.

Nack

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