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Ready to blunder? - XG rollout and game progression breakdown

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Monday, 6 April 2015, at 8:32 p.m.

In Response To: Ready to blunder? (Karol Szczerek)

Thanks for all the answers.

Here is the position again, and rollout:

XGID=---BbbCB----dD---a-bbBbB--:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
White - Pips 170

Black - Pips 178
Black to Play 5-4
Created with BGdiagram.com

1.xgRollout123/18 21/17* eq: -0,076
Player:
Opponent:		48,97% (G:12,14% B:0,48%)
51,03% (G:16,20% B:0,80%)		Conf.: ± 0,014 (-0,089...-0,062) - [100,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
2.Rollout121/16 21/17* eq: -0,198 (-0,122)
Player:
Opponent:		46,42% (G:11,19% B:0,43%)
53,58% (G:17,45% B:0,93%)		Conf.: ± 0,013 (-0,211...-0,185) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes
3.Rollout121/17* 13/8eq: -0,326 (-0,250)
Player:
Opponent:		43,67% (G:11,00% B:0,46%)
56,33% (G:19,59% B:1,23%)		Conf.: ± 0,015 (-0,341...-0,311) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
4.Rollout123/14eq: -0,411 (-0,336)
Player:
Opponent:		40,84% (G:8,65% B:0,33%)
59,16% (G:17,31% B:0,79%)		Conf.: ± 0,012 (-0,423...-0,400) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
5.Rollout113/9 13/8eq: -0,689 (-0,613)
Player:
Opponent:		36,30% (G:7,97% B:0,33%)
63,70% (G:25,02% B:1,58%)		Conf.: ± 0,014 (-0,703...-0,675) - [0,0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 54 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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